Brunei’s rice self-sufficiency targets

I read two interesting blog posts at Brunei Resources on Brunei’s rice self-sufficiency targets. The posts discuss the state of rice imports, hovering at around 30,000 metric tonnes per annum and of the feasibility of Brunei reaching self-sufficiency of rices.

So I thought to run a short analytic on it … based on data From Brunei.fm and agriculture.gov.bn:

Current –> 884 metric tonnes of production vs. 1,356 hectares area under paddy 2008 = 0.65 tonnes per hectare
Short term goal 2010 (13 months from now) –> 5,800 metric tonnes of production vs. 2,360 hectares  = 2.46 tonnes per hectare. [Note that the 2,360 hectares doesn't reconcile to 4,904 ha new + 1,356 ha existing land area on page 19 of the report]
Medium term goal 2015 (5 years from now) –> 18,000 metric tonnes of production vs. 5,360 hectares  = 3.36 tonnes per hectare.

More analysis after the break:

Continue reading

Posted in Business | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

TAIB financial statements 31 December 2008

The accounts for Perbadanan Tabung Amanah Islam Brunei were published in the Weekend Borneo Bulletin (pages 55-58), for the year ended 31 December 2008. Part of my savings and investment portfolio is squirrelled away in TAIB Deposit Certificates (TDC’s) and I’m always interested to read about how my investments are doing.

As I was skimming through the accounts, I thought:

  1. “Dividends” of $27m were paid out during the year, on annual profits of $44m. That’s a 61% payout ratio
    These are paid out to customers – the $1,514m deposits from customers (see note #9)
    So from the “Body” point of view – the customers = shareholders, and dividends are payable to them.
  2. Accounts are prepared for “true and fair view” of the “Body”. The notes mention this is in accordance with “generally accepted accounting principles in Brunei Darussalam”.
    It took a while for me to figure out – but the reason for (1) above is because these principles are “modified to comply with the principles of Syariah”.
  3. The return of 1% to 2.5% to deposit holders (calculated on average daily balance) is better than inflation rates of 0.4% in Brunei.
  4. The Syariah Advisory Committee opines that the operations of TAIB have been conducted with the Syariah principles, to the best of their knowledge.
  5. $16m has been provided for the diminution in value of unquoted investments. The provision increases by $12m this year, on a b/f balance of $76m investments. $12m is nearly half of the 2009 “dividends” payout.
  6. $3m of the $12m “Building” fixed assets are Reclassified in the year to Leasehold properties, renovations and computer equipment. Interestingly, $500,000 (to the Dollar!) is reclassified as Computer Equipment. I’d be interested to see a $500,000 investment in Computer Equipment.

    Just as interesting, how did the $12m get classed as “Buildings” in the first place when a cool half a million (to the Dollar yo!) was Computer Equipment.

  7. Audit fee of $75k, is 3 times what the previous auditors were billing. Goes to show that not all audits are won on the back of “Who lodged the cheapest possible bid”.
    This year TAIB spent$21k on consultancy fees, which is lower than the $133k on consultancy fees spent in prior year.
    In a year where TAIB invests $92m in unquoted investments, where are the due diligence and legal fees? Unless they’re not written off in the year and are included in the asset on the balance sheet? I’d be interested to know more about the Governance, Risk management and Compliance structures in place to guard against further write offs in unquoted investments.
  8. $424k is charged to the P&L in the year for “Provision for retirement benefits”, and $176k in the year prior.
    I’m a little confused because in the accounts, under Notes for “Employee benefits costs”, the accounts only mention that TAIB contributes to Employee’s Trust Fund (TAP) which is a Defined Contribution scheme.  Because the Employer’s contribution rate of 5% has not changed from 2007 to 2008, does this mean that Employees at TAIB increased 2.4x fold over prior year? Or maybe salaries were increased 2.4x over prior year?

    Or maybe TAIB has a defined benefit scheme for some employees, and the charge to the provision of $424k in the year is to cover pension liabilities for their future retirement? If so – that’s a sweet deal. And one that may not be fully disclosed in the accounts.

More after the break.

Continue reading

Posted in Business | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Introducing … Mr Mark Lankester

Ladies and Gentlemen, Tuan-tuan, dan Puan-Puan yang dihormati, Assalamualaikum.

I have the honour of introducing for you today two distinguished gentlemen, Mr Mark Lankester who will be delivering today’s Keynote Luncheon Address; and Mr Brian Koh, who will be running the brief Q&A session after the Address. The topic of today’s Forum is Innovation … and the transformational effect Innovation has on the Enterprise.

So you may be wondering … why have we invited a Hotelier to talk to us today about Innovation? Maybe he’s here to talk to us about the Hotel 2.0? Or maybe about how the Internet has disintermediated the hospitality industry, how Hotels can harness the power of the Internet to sell direct to the end users? I mean … what was the last “sexy” innovation to come from the hospitality industry?

Well let me tell you. It is my humble opinion that Mr Lankester is second to none in this region, as an expert on the transformational effects of Innovation. After all … he has over 10 years of experience working in an industry that has been ravaged by the effects of disruptive technologies.

Any Guesses where he comes from? He comes from the Music industry.

Mr Lankester became the CEO of TuneHotels.com after a stint in the New Media industry from 2003 to 2009 and after holding a number of senior positions in Warner Music from 1992 to 2002, culminating in a 4-year appointment as the Chairman and CEO of Warner Music Publishing Asia in 1998 to 2002.

Mr Lankester is no stranger to the disruptive power of technology, having been at the helm of an Asia Pacific Music distribution operation right at the height of the popularity of the Napster file sharing network.  To me, this would have been a time of great “Crisis” in the entertainment industry. Now … “Crisis” … that is an interesting word …

When written in Chinese, the word “Crisis” is composed of two characters.
One represents Danger, and the other represents Opportunity.

And most sane people I know run at the sight of danger. And usually in the other direction. With Mr Lankester he instead embraced the unknown and plunged full-throttle into the New Media industry, working to convert threats into opportunities and innovating to develop new business models to monetize entertainment assets in new digital portfolios.

During his time running Warner Music, Mr Lankester identified the need to package the “Old world” of CD’s and music albums and home video products with new technologies born of the Internet in order to create a competitive advantage in a difficult, changing and chaotic market place.

And it is perhaps this valuable trait of his … his tenacity to innovate in the face of disruptive technology … which I now turn to him for his insights  as to how I can best harness innovation for the transformation of the Enterprises I lead, I advise and I have an effect on. Ladies & Gentlemen! Give it up please … for Mr Mark Lankester!

Posted in Musings | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Imposing unincorporated business profit taxes

What are your thoughts on the Brunei government imposing personal income taxes on Bruneians?

Immediately, the first thoughts come to mind:

  • The new regulation would require taxes to be paid by all unincorporated businesses.
  • This includes all sole proprietorships and partnerships operating as business names.
  • Taxes would probably start low 5%, then gradually ramp up. The opposite of that - starting taxes high, would discourage start ups but encourage established businesses to incorporate to avail themselves of the lower corporate rate of tax. I think they would not do this, but just impose a flat 5% of income tax on unincorporated businesses.
  • Instant across-the-board rise in cost of living and doing business. Landlords operating as sole proprietorships would simply pass the increase in taxes on to their tenants.
  • The first thing the public would ask is … what is the cost-benefit analysis of imposing this new regulation?

Some more analysis after the break.

Continue reading

Posted in Business | Tagged , | Leave a comment

every bodu should like u.png

Of the 7 deadly sins, Pride is my favourite one:

every bodu should like u

Posted in Musings | Tagged | Leave a comment

Al Salam Bahrain and TAIB form a strategic partnership

The Al Salam Bahrain bank recently announced a strategic partnership with TAIB from Brunei. The two institutions are involved in the Burj Al Safwa Tower in Mecca – a premier piece  of residential and commercial real estate. BSH:SALAM is one of 50 or so publicly-listed company trading on the Bahrain stock exchange.

I currently invest in some “TAIB deposit certificates”, which are also called “TDCs”. These offer variable returns in a range that competes with other debt instruments but give no capital protection. Yet. the impression I get when I buy them is that they are structured “like” equity instruments to address the whole “Shariah compliance” problem of calling it “debt” that pays a stream of interest payments to the lender. Instead they pay off “profits” sourced from the businesses which TAIB “invested” in on the investee’s behalf. Fascinating. I’ll call them “quasi-equity” instruments for now. One of these days I’ll research the implications of IFRS accounting for the Islamic Financial Services industry and blog aboout it.

I’ll be following the developments of the Al-Salam Bahrain – TAIB – Joint Venture which much interest, since I am quite likely, a part investor in the project.

Posted in Business | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Supplemental Contributory Pension (SCP)

I attended the SCP briefing last week for the private sector. Sitting in front with some of the other BICPA members, I managed to grab a microphone at the beginning of the Q&A Session and ask a few questions:

Continue reading

Posted in Musings | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Open Source in Brunei Darussalam [Presentation]

Six months ago I gave this presentation to a group of non-techies. It is pitched as a general briefing on Open Source in Brunei.

My materials are published under a Creative Commons license, so please feel free to make use of these materials. I’ve published my slides and my speaker’s notes below.

Continue reading

Posted in Musings | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Setting up OpenSolaris 2009.06 – some hints

Some brief ideas:

1. Set up VNC using the built-in OpenSolaris VNC server. Tim Thomas blogs on how it’s done –> Simply edit nano /etc/x11/gdm/custom.conf. Then ensure that xvnc-inetd is spawned on startup: svcadm enable xvnc-inetd. Then respawn xvnc-inetd and gdm: svcadm disable xvnc-inetd gdm ; svcadm enable xvnc-inetd gdm

2. Set up CIFS file sharing with the built-in OpenSolaris CIFS server. Sun’s Developer Network has a recipe for Solaris 10 –> but OpenSolaris doesn’t have the kernel module pre-installed, so you have to go pkg install SUNWsmbskr ; pkg install SUNWsmbs. Once you have that installed, enable it, allow users to login and you’re done: svcadm enable -r smb/server ; echo “other password required pam_smb_passwd.so.1 nowarn” >> /etc/pam.conf

Posted in Musings | Tagged , | Leave a comment

A model for municipal fiber networks – 100mbps @ $11/month

With the recent interest in FTTH, WBA and regulatory strategies to achiveve growth, I thought it would be a good time to blog about the results that countries and places outside of Brunei have had with deploying FTTH networks.

Stockholm case study

Stockholm’s 100mbps municipal FTTH for $11 per month. And that’s in both directions – upload at 100mbps / download at 100mbps.

In a Swedish city – $30-$40 per month buys you a 20mbps connection. And in the US, expect to pay some $145 per month for a Verizon connection.

See the connection? You don’t have to go far to find more support for this model – OECD endorses this kind of model where the government funds the investment in infrastructure, and let the private sector do what it does best – which is innovate, develop innovative services and compete for the end-user’s dollars.

Posted in Technology | Tagged , , | Leave a comment